Overvalued Fantasy Players

Updated: 9/3/2020

Overvalued players are players that are being drafted earlier than their rank should justify. For example, if a player is ranked as the 40th best player, they should be drafted with the last pick of the 4th round (in a 10 team league), or pick number 40. If the is drafted significantly earlier than the 40th pick they are being overvalued. This is a bad idea, if we trust our projections, because he will not live up to his draft pick. The purpose of this article is to show which players are currently being overvalued according to their rank and average draft position. These will be players we will want to avoid, unless they fall to a draft position more in line with their rank.

The data we are using comes from our sister site Fandraftic is an online web application to make fantasy drafting easier, but it allows us to easily see the overvalued players. We are using an average of the projections for the players from sites like ESPN, Sportsline, Numberfire, etc, and applying them to the default Yahoo scoring and roster type for a 10 team league. The average draft position data comes from Anyway, enough about that, let's get started.

Player Team/Position Rank ADP Notes
Tyreek Hill Chiefs/WR 11 26 Tyreek Hill is one of the best wide receivers in the league, but the projections don't support him being drafted with the 11th pick. It looks like Tyreek has had some hamstring issues already this year which is never good on a speedster, but the concern must not be too great as he is still ranked 26th overall. This seems to be based more on bypassing one of the top RBs to grab Hill so early.
Chris Godwin Buccaneers/WR 32 21 A lot is expected from Godwin's season this year with future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady. I wonder if drafters are getting a little too excited about what Tom Brady brings to the table this year, especially with Covid-19 removing the pre-season and impacting practice opportunities.
DeAndre Hopkins Cardinals/WR 35 15 Looks like people are buying Hopkins based off his Texans performance. Wide Receivers moving to new teams usually experience some growing pains. This year has high expectations for the Cardinals, but it may take some time for the situation to gel, which may not be something most people are willing to wait for with their WR1.

We're still pretty early with the projections and the ADP values so hopefully we'll see a fair amount of movement in the next few weeks as new news comes out. Check back for updates, or go to to see the complete rankings.